diff --git a/tests/builtin/runtime/test_statistics.py b/tests/builtin/runtime/test_statistics.py
index e846cc9871..0acde84778 100644
--- a/tests/builtin/runtime/test_statistics.py
+++ b/tests/builtin/runtime/test_statistics.py
@@ -609,7 +609,7 @@ async def scenario() -> None:
 
 
 # Measured on the default text-recall path; slack of one statement above the observed value.
-_PREPARE_STATEMENT_CEILING = 48
+_PREPARE_STATEMENT_CEILING = 41
 
 
 def test_prepare_context_statement_count_does_not_grow_with_memory_count() -> None: